2018 MIDTERM ELECTION

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NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Three hours ago, I posted this diary about today's official ACA signup numbers being announced.

As everyone knows by now, the official enrollment figure--as of November 2nd--was about 106,000 (plus another 392,000 added to Medicaid).

Well, there's something important to remember--things have started to ramp up since the crappy first month. The HC.gov site may still be having problems, but most of the state exchanges have worked theirs out, and California is starting to get things in gear:

California reports 59,000 health insurance enrollees through Tuesday

More than 59,000 Californians have signed up for coverage since the state launched its health insurance marketplace last month, but the figures showed a significant uptick in activity in the first two weeks of November, officials said Wednesday.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

 

Administration to release Obamacare enrollment numbers at 3:30 p.m.

The Obama administration will on Wednesday release data on October enrollments through the federal health insurance exchange.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services will release a report on the numbers at 3:30 p.m., and Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius will discuss the findings on a press call then. The numbers are for people living in states using the federal exchange and not state exchanges, which have slowly been releasing their data.

The White House has been trying to lower already low expectations for the numbers, as press secretary Jay Carney did, yet again, at his daily briefing Wednesday. "No one will be satisfied with the numbers because they will be below what we sought" prior to the launch of the website, he told reporters.

Carney said he hadn't yet discussed the numbers with Obama.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Alex Singer just posted this diary, quoting the Wall Street Journal:

So far, private health plans have received enrollment data for 40,000 to 50,000 users of the federal marketplace, the people familiar with the figures said.

The figure of 40,000 to 50,000 doesn't include people in the 36 states who used the federal website to learn they qualify for Medicaid, a federal-state health program for low-income people. Medicaid is being expanded in many of the 36 states.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

So, yesterday Politico ran this story ahead of next week's release of the first official Obamacare enrollment figures:

Sebelius says Obamacare enrollment 'very low'

Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius today acknowledged that long-awaited enrollment figures for the rocky first month of Obamacare will be “very low.”
“We intend to give you as much information as we can validate,” Sebelius told a Senate Finance Committee hearing where lawmakers from both parties harshly criticized the rollout and her agency’s lack of foresight about the massive problems. She said the initial batch of enrollment figures being released next week cover “the first month of enrollment” and will include both Medicaid and health plan numbers in the new insurance exchanges.

It will be very interesting to see just how close--or completely dead wrong--my own figures are at ObamacareSignups.net

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Thanks to the latest eyebrow-raising numbers out of California, the ObamacareSignups.nettally--including Medicaid expansion--now stands at 1,622,521    .

I should note that the big numbers from both California and New York are rather fuzzy, because they're very large but also don't give any real breakdown. The other day Rep. Capps of CA-24 claimed California has 600,000 added to Medicaid and 125,000 applications on the exchanges; today CoveredCA claims 227,000 applications...but doesn't break this out, so that could be a major issue. By the same token, NY supposedly has 200,000 completed applications...and another source claims 27,000 of these are Medicaid. I'm fairly certain that the breakdown is actually more like 140K Medicaid to 60K Exchanges, but I can't be sure for now.

If you were to remove both California and New York from the totals completely, they would both drop dramatically, to around 573,000 combined, so this is a pretty important thing to sort out.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Thanks to the latest eyebrow-raising numbers out of California, the ObamacareSignups.nettally--including Medicaid expansion--now stands at 1,519,979.

It's important to understand that sources and methodology for this sort of tracking is going to vary widely, depending on what exactly it is that you're trying to track (as well as the source, of course). In my case, yes, I'm including Medicaid expansion signups, because ultimately, what matters is people actually getting decent medical care at an affordable price.

In addition, I've chosen to include completed applications for healthcare plans, even if they haven't actually been enrolled yet. You could certainly argue that I shouldn't count it, but frankly, so many of the articles/sources I'm using fail to make that distinction either that I grew tired of trying to separate the wheat from the chaff.

One very strict (and openly anti-ACA) tracking source, EnrollMaven.com, lists the number as only about 39,000. Another, the Advisory Board Company, puts the number at 160,000, but with 404,000 applications.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

As of today, the ObamacareSignups.net tally now stands at 974,539.

It's important to understand that sources and methodology for this sort of tracking is going to vary widely, depending on what exactly it is that you're trying to track (as well as the source, of course). In my case, yes, I'm including Medicaid expansion signups, because ultimately, what matters is people actually getting decent medical care at an affordable price.

In addition, I've chosen to include completed applications for healthcare plans, even if they haven't actually been enrolled yet. You could certainly argue that I shouldn't count it, but frankly, so many of the articles/sources I'm using fail to make that distinction either that I grew tired of trying to separate the wheat from the chaff.

One very strict (and openly anti-ACA) tracking source, EnrollMaven.com, lists the number as only about 36,000. Another, the Advisory Board Company, puts the number at 116,000, but with 365,000 applications.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

As of today, the ObamacareSignups.net tally now stands at 941,458.

It's important to understand that sources and methodology for this sort of tracking is going to vary widely, depending on what exactly it is that you're trying to track (as well as the source, of course). In my case, yes, I'm including Medicaid expansion signups, because ultimately, what matters is people actually getting decent medical care at an affordable price.

In addition, I've chosen to include completed applications for healthcare plans, even if they haven't actually been enrolled yet. You could certainly argue that I shouldn't count it, but frankly, so many of the articles/sources I'm using fail to make that distinction either that I grew tired of trying to separate the wheat from the chaff.

As a result, you're going to see a VERY wide range of estimates--one very strict (and openly anti-ACA) tracking source, EnrollMaven.com, lists the number as only about 36,000. Another, the Advisory Board Company, puts the number at 116,000, but with 365,000 applications.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Thanks in large part to the tireless efforts of ArcticStones in particular (along with help from the other state-watchers listed below the fold), the ObamacareSignups.net numbers are starting to jump up again.

As a result, as of today, the tally now stands at 903,190.

However, it's important to understand that sources and methodology for this sort of tracking is going to vary widely, depending on what exactly it is that you're trying to track (as well as the source, of course). In my case, yes, I'm including Medicaid expansion signups, because ultimately, what matters is people actually getting decent medical care at an affordable price.

In addition, I've chosen to include completed applications for healthcare plans, even if they haven't actually been enrolled yet. You could certainly argue that I shouldn't count it, but frankly, so many of the articles/sources I'm using fail to make that distinction either that I grew tired of trying to separate the wheat from the chaff.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Things have stabilized a bit at ObamacareSignups.net, as some of the early speculative numbers are starting to settle down into actual, real-world figures.

As a result, as of today, the tally for people who are now covered by by health insurance who weren't prior to the launch of the Exchanges is only a bit higher than it was a few days ago (639,102 to be precise).

It's important to understand that sources and methodology for this sort of tracking is going to vary widely, depending on what exactly it is that you're trying to track (as well as the source, of course). In my case, yes, I'm including Medicaid expansion signups, because ultimately, what matters is people actually getting decent medical care at an affordable price (and certainly Medicaid is affordable for that person).

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

If you go to ObamacareSignups.net, you'll see that my own current tally now sits at over 600,000 either enrolled or at least with completed applications.

Today's big updates:

--the District of Columbia is up to over 1,800 "individuals and families" which could actually mean up to perhaps 3,000 actual people

--Illinois has received 20,000 completed applications for Medicaid expansion.

--Massachusetts, which is a special case since they've been running their exchange for years (thanks, Mitt!) has added another 5,691 since the ACA exchanges formally started.

--The beat rolls on in New York, which is now up to 150,000 people "registered and deemed eligible"

--A handful of people have signed up in Mississippi and Wyoming, believe it or not!

Thanks to the folks below the fold for providing some of these sources!

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

If you go to ObamacareSignups.net, you'll see that my own current tally now sits at over 560,000 either enrolled or at least with completed applications.

Today's big updates:

--the District of Columbia is up to over 1,800 "individuals and families" which could actually mean up to perhaps 3,000 actual people

--Massachusetts received 3,300 applications in the first 2 weeks; obviously this is a special case since they've been running their own Exchange for years (thanks, Mitt!)

--The beat rolls on in New York, which is now up to 150,000 people "registered and deemed eligible"

--Rhode Island reports 2,652 signups to date

--And finally, Washington State is kicking ass, with 35,528 enrolled and another 40,400 completed applications--covering 56,000 actual people. Add those up and you get 91,528 Washingtonians total.

--Oh, there is one bit of bad news: I had to lower the Kentucky figures a bit, based on the Governor's office website; apparently CNN's "45,000" number from the other day was a bit off. The official number is listed as 32,203 today.

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Last night's big news was the Obama administration finally releasing their first official numbers on ACA exchange signups; they stated that "more than 476,000 health insurance applications have been filed through federal and state exchanges".

On the one hand, that's still a pretty nebulous figure--"Applications Filed" doesn't necessarily equal "People Actually Signed Up". On the other hand, many of those applications are likely for more than one person (households), so the number could be 2-3 times that figure. I also find it noteworthy that the 476,000 figure is remarkably close to my own rough tally (450,000) from just one day earlier, which I think is pretty cool!

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here for archival purposes.

Today (Friday) has seen some significant updates to both the spreadsheet and the figures, including:

--I've taken ownership of the spreadsheet by adding "by brainwrap" to the site (I debated about whether to do this or not, but screw it)

--I've added links to 3 other sources which are trying to track the number of signups, although all of them have lower numbers than I list: 50,000 (Daily Briefing), 156,000 (Aaron Strauss), 185,000 (Sarah Kliff's WonkBlog). It really depends on what you (or the state, or the media source) define as "applied", "approved", "enrolled" or "signed up". It also depends on whether you include Medicaid expansion or not (in my case, I'm doing so, which no doubt explains much of the higher total).

--Maryland has released their latest tally (PDF), which includes both exchange signups as well as Medicaid expansion numbers...and now sits at over 84,000 people with health coverage!

NOTE: This was originally posted over at Daily Kos. I've since ported it over here, verbatim, for archival purposes.

I've set up a Google Docs spreadsheet devoted to keeping track of the official ACA/Obamacare signup numbers as they're reported by the states running their own exchanges (as well as other reputable sources).

The HHS Dept. has stated that they aren't planning on releasing any official numbers for the still-massively-screwed-up federal exchange (Healthcare.gov), so this will have to serve for the moment. If and when someone else starts tracking these numbers on a regular basis, I'll be happy to give up this effort, but until then, it's at least something.

Here's the place to go; I'll be compiling the numbers as they come in, to the best of my ability, at the following link:

ObamacareSignups.net

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