Texas

Overall preliminary rate changes via the SERFF database, Texas Insurance Dept. and/or the federal Rate Review database.

Access to Care Health Plan:

(Access to Care Health Plan is a division of Sendero; unfortunately, they've heavily redacted their actuarial memo and I can't find a justification summary)

Aetna Health:

Aetna is dropping out of the individual market nationally in 2026. In texas, they've provided a market withdrawl letter which includes the exact number of current enrollees in each region of the state:

"Aetna is totally withdrawing from the individual (off and on-exchange) market, effective December 31, 2025. Individuals currently covered under an Aetna plan will need to make a different plan selection for 2026. In accordance with Texas and federal law, consumers will be given 180 days’ notice of the termination of their policy."

Me, on April 22nd:

So, all of that was last summer. Skip ahead ten months and voila, the U.S. Supreme Court did indeed hear arguments in the case yesterday...and while the headline from the AP makes it sound positive, there's a potentially very dark lining as well:

 The Supreme Court seemed likely to uphold a key preventive-care provision of the Affordable Care Act in a case heard Monday.

Conservative justices Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett, along with the court’s three liberals, appeared skeptical of arguments that Obamacare’s process for deciding which services must be fully covered by private insurance is unconstitutional.

Originally posted 4/04/25

Over the past couple of months I've compiled a master spreadsheet breaking out enrollment in ACA plans (Qualified Health Plans & Basic Health Plans), Medicaid/CHIP coverage (both traditional & via ACA expansion) and Medicare (both Fee-for-Services & Advantage) at the Congressional District levels.

With the pending dire threat to several of these programs (primarily Medicaid & the ACA) from the House Republican Budget Proposal which recently passed, I'm going a step further and am generating pie charts which visualize just how much of every Congressional District's total population is at risk of losing healthcare coverage.

USE THE DROP-DOWN MENU ABOVE TO FIND YOUR STATE & DISTRICT.

Originally posted 3/17/25

Over the past couple of months I've compiled a master spreadsheet breaking out enrollment in ACA plans (Qualified Health Plans & Basic Health Plans), Medicaid/CHIP coverage (both traditional & via ACA expansion) and Medicare (both Fee-for-Services & Advantage) at the Congressional District levels.

With the pending dire threat to several of these programs (primarily Medicaid & the ACA) from the House Republican Budget Proposal which recently passed, I'm going a step further and am generating pie charts which visualize just how much of every Congressional District's total population is at risk of losing healthcare coverage.

USE THE DROP-DOWN MENU ABOVE TO FIND YOUR STATE & DISTRICT.

Originally published 6/10/25; updated 6/27/25

Me, on April 22nd:

So, all of that was last summer. Skip ahead ten months and voila, the U.S. Supreme Court did indeed hear arguments in the case yesterday...and while the headline from the AP makes it sound positive, there's a potentially very dark lining as well:

 The Supreme Court seemed likely to uphold a key preventive-care provision of the Affordable Care Act in a case heard Monday.

Conservative justices Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett, along with the court’s three liberals, appeared skeptical of arguments that Obamacare’s process for deciding which services must be fully covered by private insurance is unconstitutional.

(sigh) it's been nearly another full year since the last time I wrote about the seemingly never-ending Braidwood v. Becerra lawsuit which threatens to not only end many of the ACA's zero-cost preventative services, but which could also throw all sorts of regulatory authority into turmoil depending on what precedents it sets.

Here (once again) is Sabrina Corlette's refresher on this case and what's at stake:

On March 30, 2023, a federal district court judge issued a sweeping ruling, enjoining the government from enforcing Affordable Care Act (ACA) requirements that health plans cover and waive cost-sharing for high-value preventive services. This decision, which wipes out the guarantee of benefits that Americans have taken for granted for 13 years, now takes immediate effect.

Originally posted 1/05/2025

Texas has nearly 4.0 MILLION residents enrolled in ACA exchange plans, 95% of whom are currently subsidized. They also have an small number of unsubsidized off-exchange enrollees.

Combined, that's 12.7% of their total population.

As always, the Texas individual and small group markets are pretty messy. For starters, they have up to 20 individual market carriers depending on the year, along with over a dozen small group market carriers some years (this year they're at 17 and 8 respectively).

On top of that, as is also the case in some other states, some of the names of the insurance carriers can be confusing as hell. There's the "Insurance company of Scott & White" which seems to have changed its name to "Baylor Scott & White Insurance Co.," which isn't to be confused with "Scott & White Health Plans" and so on.

I was only able to acquire hard enrollment data for five of the carriers on the individual market this year, and one of those doesn't really count since they're brand new and don't have any (Wellpoint Insurance Co.). For another 11 of them the rate filings include the number of policyholders but not the actual number of covered lives; for those I'm using an average 1.4x multiplier, based on the actual multiplier found in the carriers I have both numbers available for.

It's been another several months since the last time I wrote about the seemingly never-ending Braidwood v. Becerra lawsuit which threatens to not only end many of the ACA's zero-cost preventative services, but which could also throw all sorts of regulatory authority into turmoil depending on what precedents it sets.

Here's Sabrina Corlette's refresher on this case and what's at stake:

On March 30, 2023, a federal district court judge issued a sweeping ruling, enjoining the government from enforcing Affordable Care Act (ACA) requirements that health plans cover and waive cost-sharing for high-value preventive services. This decision, which wipes out the guarantee of benefits that Americans have taken for granted for 13 years, now takes immediate effect.

It's been a whopping nine months since the last time I wrote anything about the seemingly never-ending Braidwood v. Becerra lawsuit which threatens to not only end many of the ACA's zero-cost preventative services, but which could also throw all sorts of regulatory authority into turmoil depending on what precedents it sets.

Over at CHIRblog, Sabrina Corlette has a refresher on this case and what's at stake:

On March 30, 2023, a federal district court judge issued a sweeping ruling, enjoining the government from enforcing Affordable Care Act (ACA) requirements that health plans cover and waive cost-sharing for high-value preventive services. This decision, which wipes out the guarantee of benefits that Americans have taken for granted for 13 years, now takes immediate effect.

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